Every MLB starting pitcher on today's slate, ordered by BANG-Against, which is our Statcast contact-quality score per plate appearance. Higher means easier to hit, which historically means more home runs allowed. The pitchers near the top are the easiest targets for hitters tonight.
Each row carries the three factors that drive HR rate on a given night: BANG-Against, park HR factor for each handedness, and live game-time weather. Sortable, filterable, updated four times a day (9am, 11am, 2pm, 5pm ET) as lineups firm up. For the same games in matchup-card form with both teams side by side, see Today's Slate.
Click any row to see the opposing team's batters ranked by BANG vs this pitcher's hand, with BvP history. Click the pitcher's name for the full player detail modal (rolling windows, platoon splits, recent at-bats).
| # | Pitcher | Throws | Matchup | BANG-Against | Season rank | HR park (L/R) | Weather | Game time |
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We rank every MLB probable pitcher today by BANG-Against, our per-plate-appearance contact-quality score. It's derived from Statcast exit velocity, launch angle, and hit distance for every batted ball a pitcher has allowed this season. Each plate appearance counts, whether or not the batter put the ball in play. Strikeouts and walks contribute zero to the score but still count in the denominator, so a pitcher who racks up Ks ends up with a lower BANG-Against than one who lets batters put it in play.
League median is around 6.6. Anything 10 or above is hittable. 14+ is very hittable. The pitchers at the top of these rankings are the easiest contact-quality targets on tonight's slate. They're the first names to look at for home-run and player-prop bets.
Most pitcher rankings pages today (CBS, ESPN, FantasyPros, RotoBaller, Pitcher List) are built for fantasy lineup decisions. They rank by ERA, strikeouts, or roster percentage. The pitcher matchups today on this page are framed for bettors instead of fantasy managers.
ERA conflates run prevention with luck on balls in play. Strikeout rate is largely independent of HR risk. BANG-Against measures one specific thing: how hard the pitcher gets hit when contact happens. Combine that with park HR factors (which differ for lefty vs righty batters) and live game-time weather, and you have the inputs that actually move HR rate game-to-game. The same lens drives our HR picks page.
BANG-Against is the pitcher's contact quality allowed per plate appearance, season to date. Higher is easier to hit. Color shading: green at 10 or above, yellow from 6 to 10, red below 6.
Season rank tells you where this pitcher sits among all qualified arms this year. #1 is the most hittable in baseball. That's what you want as a hitter bettor.
HR park (L/R) is the home park's HR factor split by batter handedness; 100 is neutral. Yankee Stadium reads 118L / 100R because of the short right-field porch. Petco reads 92L / 90R because the marine layer kills carry. Pair it with the opposing team's batter handedness mix.
Weather is the live forecast wrapped in our HR multiplier. 1.00 is neutral, 1.03 or higher is a tailwind, 0.97 or lower is a headwind. It combines temperature deviation from the park's monthly norm, wind out to center field, and a cold-air-density penalty below 55°F. Practical range is 0.85 to 1.15.
Every probable starting pitcher for today's MLB games is on this page, ranked by BANG-Against. The list refreshes four times daily (9am, 11am, 2pm, and 5pm ET), so late-confirmed starters show up within a few hours of the team announcement.
The starters at the top of the table. They have the highest BANG-Against on today's slate, which means they give up the hardest contact per plate appearance over the season. Those are the first rows to look at for home-run and player-prop bets, especially in a hitter-friendly park or with a tailwind.
ERA tells you how many runs a pitcher gave up. That number folds together three things: how hard the pitcher gets hit, whether batted balls happened to fall in (luck), and whether runners came around to score (sequencing plus bullpen). BANG-Against isolates the first one. It measures how loud the contact is when it happens, per plate appearance. That makes it directly predictive of home-run rate allowed, which is what matters for player-prop and HR bets.
Tonight's MLB starters appear on this page as soon as teams announce them, usually three to four hours before first pitch. The table auto-refreshes with each scheduled update, so you don't need to reload to catch late confirmations.
Four times a day: 9am, 11am, 2pm, and 5pm ET. That cadence catches every lineup-confirmation wave (early day games by 11am, late-afternoon games by 2pm, the night slate by 5pm). For the matchup-card view of both teams plus the batter-vs-pitcher grid, see Today's Slate.