Posted is the consensus line across the books pricing it. Ours is our own projection for that stat, built from usage rather than from the odds. Diff is ours minus posted, and Lean is the side that difference points to.
One thing worth knowing about that comparison. A sportsbook sets its line where the bet is a coin flip, which makes it a median. A projection is an average. Rushing and receiving yards are heavily right-skewed, so a few huge games pull the average above the coin-flip point and a raw average would lean over on almost every line. Ours is converted to the median the book is actually pricing before the difference is taken.
Click any row to see the number at each individual sportsbook, with the best price on each side marked. A consensus line hides the spread between books, and the spread is where the decision usually lives.
Books is how many sportsbooks are pricing the line. A line seven books have priced has been argued over; a line one book has priced has not, and a disagreement against a single book is usually a stale price rather than an edge.
The side always comes from our own number: if we are above the line the only candidate is the over. The price then decides whether that side is worth taking at what the book is charging, and it is shown so the verdict is never a black box. Two quarterbacks with the same projection can get different answers purely because one over is juiced to −170 and the other is −125.
PASS is not a weak lean, it is the absence of one. A gap only matters against how much the stat swings week to week, so the gap is turned into a probability first, and then judged against the price you would actually pay. A bet at −115 has to win 53.5% of the time just to break even. If neither side clears its own price, the honest answer is pass, and most lines are passes.